I am supposed to be at the gym. I’m not because the forecast changed. Earlier, there was question about whether a warm front would get far enough north “providing ample moisture for […]

18z model runs (six of them, below) depict Wednesday’s severe event southwest of – but not including – Davidson and Williamson Counties: This aligns with the 15% severe threat for Wednesday from […]

Substantial wind shear will be in place as a line of storms approaches Monday morning. ETA late morning/lunch. But instability should be near zero, reducing if not eliminating most/all severe storm concerns. […]