No organized severe weather forecast in the next seven days. Permission to stop reading now: granted!
Most of the rain is gone. HRRR below says few showers possible tonight into the morning. But most of us are good.
Author: David
Bad storms Sunday night/overnight: hail, damaging straight line winds, tornado risk.
This afternoon/tonight. Clouds are limiting storm potential. Models think rain will fade through afternoon. Graduations tonight may be OK but we cannot rule out an isolated storm popping up.
Storms overnight should mature over Kentucky and drop south. HRRR model ETA 3-4 AM. Lightning, heavy rain, strong straight line winds main hazards. Tornado risk much further west where only a 2% probability within 25 miles is outlooked.
Severe Weather Update as of 8:40 pm Tuesday
1–Strong, scattered afternoon storms possible today.
Storms forming near Memphis may arrive here this afternoon. Not everyone will see a storm. Those that do will want to be inside. We are not severe-outlooked by SPC; however, our local NWS office notes enough instability and shear to power storms up. This is suggested by the HRRR model below. Storms may be strong, maybe severe, with damaging straight line winds the main severe feature. Data does not support tornado. Hail, if any, will be small. Heavy rainfall running above already saturated grounds may create temporary, localized, but real flooding in the “usual spots.” We’ll be covering this on Twitter/X today. On YouTube Live if any warnings are issued. Activity should end after dark.
In this blog: 1. Website/X change. 2. Storms tonight. 3. Severe storms outlooked this week.
1–Website change.
As you probably know, we’ve made recent attempts to become less dependent on Twitter and instead create a website from the ground up that would serve as our main timeline and push to social media platforms secondarily. The site would serve as a one stop shop. Pull it up, let it sit there, and be fed all NashSevereWx content automatically. While our developers have done amazing things with this concept under the hood of the site – and it works well most of the time for most people – none of us think it’s quite ready for us to depend on during a week when potentially severe, storms are forecast. We’re committed to getting it perfect. In the meantime, we’ll be posting our updates to Twitter (X), and only long-form blogs like this one to the website like we used to. We’ll be on our YouTube channel covering any warnings. Cool things are coming. We’ll keep you updated!
