The severe threat has ended in both Davidson & Williamson Counties. No tornado warnings!
Friday – Clearing Out, Great Alternate Trick-or-Treating Night – High 70
We’ll wake up to wet grass and 56. Expect 66 by lunch, then 70 by mid-afternoon. Low 60s by sundown, 54 by 10 p.m.
There are two storm lines to our west.
Last Line (above) will speed into western and Middle Tennessee. The two lines may even merge.
The result: “Severe storms look likely this evening in Middle Tennessee with possible tornadoes.”
The main blob of rain has moved east of us. It left a “tail” which should squirt us with rain around 7-ish. If you must Trick or Treat, Go Now!
However, our attention is focused on 9 p.m to 10 p.m. (or maybe later), when a new line of storms is predicted by the HRRR to arrive after forming in Arkansas/Missouri, crossing the MS River and trucking through West Tennessee.
We’re Back!
I’ve weathered two crises* this week: the Cardinals losing to the Sox, and, even worse, the website crashing to earth like an innocent pop-up between Adam Wainwright and Yadier Molina (love you guys, but you have to own it). (*not actual crises, not even close).
Today – Breezy & Warmer – High 61
10a 44 . 1p 57 . 4p 60 . 7p 55 . 10p 50
Here’s how cold we were at 4 a.m. this morning:
Our official low was 29 (at 5 a.m. and 7 a.m.).
We are rapidly warming up. A few clouds will stream in, but no rain.
Tonight/Overnight – Rain Approaching
Rain looks like it will hold off until we’re asleep. By 4 a.m. Tuesday, it’ll start slowly dragging through middle Tennessee, and may linger into the morning commute:
Summary
At 12:49 p.m. today, our National Weather Service office issued the following Special Weather Statement:
This week, a series of cold fronts will come through from the NW. Usually, a front passage brings rain, but these will be “moisture starved.” If we get rain, it’ll be very little.
Frost Advisory Sunday Morning 3 a.m. to 7 a.m.
Cold, dry air is pouring into Middle Tennessee:
Here’s the text of the Frost Advisory from our NWS:
“Although the coverage of frost is expected to be mainly restricted to low lying and sheltered areas . . . tender vegetation that is left uncovered in those locations could be damaged or killed . . . as temperatures early Sunday morning will fall into the middle 30s.”
Early this morning, scattered rain showers were moving our way from the west:
By 9 a.m., the HRRR thinks these showers will be close:
By 11 a.m.. the model thinks the back edge of the showers will be moving out:
It May Rain Tomorrow – Lo/Hi Temps: 47/64
7 a.m. 48 10 a.m. 56 1 p.m. 62 4 p.m. 63 7 p.m. 56 10 p.m. 48
A weak cold front is approaching. First thought to be dry, now we think it may be wet. Add that to the chillier-than-we’re-used-to temps, and it may be a bit of a dreary Saturday.