The latest rainfall estimates from NWS Nashville put us in the 3-4 inch range with locally higher amounts possible through Tuesday night.
While heavy rainfall is possible at any point during the Flash Flood Watch period, NWS Nashville highlights two periods where rainfall could be heaviest.
No weather concerns to talk about through late weekend. Outdoor activities are a go!
A front will sag southward toward the Kentucky border on Sunday. The front will take advantage of some moisture and produce some isolated to scattered showers. Low-ish resolution Euro model illustrates:
Two tornadoes touched down in northern Davidson County on Tuesday morning, according to a damage survey by NWS-Nashville. The first along a W to E path just north of I-24/Joelton. The other along Lickton Pike/Old Springfield Pike/Hwy 41 just N of Goodlettsville. Both were EF-0. They both occurred within the tornado warning that had been issued and were from the same storm. The first tornado touched down, lifted, then touched down again as it moved east.
Numerous National Weather Service damage surveys will get going over the next few days to determine what damage was caused by tornadoes and what damage was caused by straight-line winds. The damage can look similar, especially with weak rotation as we saw yesterday. But, trained eyes will sort it out.
One year ago, many of us were beginning to understand the magnitude of what had happened. We had watched the horrific scene of a strong tornado moving through our city live on our screens hours before, but this wasn’t your average tornado video off YouTube. It was our city, our home, our friends, our neighbors.
While ever-shrinking piles of plowed snow hang around to remind us of the big snow that was, we look ahead to a multi-inch rain that could bring flooding.
It wasn’t too long ago we were looking at snow accumulation maps that resembled this, but rain in these amounts is a different ballgame. Much more water will fall from the sky and will likely run right off into local ponds, streams, creeks and rivers due to the saturated ground.
Please clean your ride before you drive. How long does it take?
In those 8 minutes, you prevent doing this to the unsuspecting person behind you:
Be cool, and clean the ice off.
After messing with us a few times last night with some brief sleet, the atmosphere finally had mercy and unleashed a snow event. Many received 3-4 inches of new snow on top of the crusty ice, leaving several inches of sleadable powder with snow continuing today. It’s been a hot minute since we’ve seen those snow rates we had last night and reminded many of us of years like Jan. 2016 or even Jan 2003. Although our totals this time were a little less, it came down quickly and was fun to watch.
As of 1:00 pm, a cold front is moving east through west TN. The widespread clouds we’ve seen so far today are also moving east, leaving us with what could be a partly sunny afternoon.
In some scenarios, this would destabilize the air above our heads enough to create damage-making severe weather. However, today, the general mood of computer models and forecasters is somewhat chill.
Temperatures drop to 62° overnight with rain starting to wind down.
HRRR through 10:00 am Tuesday.
A few showers could hang around into Tuesday, but should be more off than on.
High of 78°.
Wednesday and Thursday look to be sunny days with highs in the mid to upper 60s before our next rain system comes in Thursday night into Friday.
