HRRR for 6:00 am Wednesday. Not hard to see the cold front. Temps will fall fast from the mid 60s to the low 40s once it passes during the morning hours.
Month: February 2024
Good News ...
Removed: the 15% probability of severe weather for Wednesday. Rain Tues and thunderstorms Weds, but severe weather now appears less likely.
What changed: recent model runs show a dry airmass Monday thru Weds. When Weds’ troublemaking cold front arrives, storm-fueling moisture and instability will be low. Bad storms need moisture and instability. Without them, meh.
Spring-Like First Half of the Week, Strong to Severe Storms Possible Wednesday.
Rain (Maybe A Lil’ Stormy?) Thursday Afternoon/Evening
Splendid day today, unfortunately the same cannot be said about the forecast for tomorrow.
The HRRR model, displays what it thinks the radar *could* look like tomorrow.
- scattered showers begin late Thursday morning and continue thru the afternoon, NBD
- heavier rain, and maybe a few storms push in later, current ETA ~7 – 9 pm (subject to change)
- at the time, our severe threat remains very low, however…
- “So maybe a strong thunderstorm here or there producing small hail and gusty winds below severe thresholds, but do not expect an organized strong convective event as of this time.” – NWS Nashville
- weather can change, so we’ll keep an eye on it and keep you updated
- rainfall totals look around 0.2 – 0.3″
We’ll dry out Friday and should get away with a dry weekend except maybeee some light, quick showers Saturday morning.