Off/On downpours. Storm center remains south. Some lightning there. Radar below at 305 PM.

Precip will continue tonight. Mix of rain/snow. Few/No impacts locally. Higher elevations may see a dusting — those up a big hill, Fairview, SE Will Co, and other high spots. HRRR model thinks rain/snow gone by midnight. read more

Heavy rain, lightning, approaching. Low probability of strong winds and small hail. No tornado.

New Winter Weather Advisory does NOT include Nashville or Will Co. Advisory in blue counties below.

Deets: For those in the WWA

There is a lot of uncertainty about snow amounts. If cold air moves in quickly, snow totals could increase above 2 inches for some spots north of I-40. But, since temperatures have been warm, much of the falling snow may melt resulting in little or no accumulation. Either way, any travel impacts are expected to be limited to elevated surfaces like bridges and overpasses. read more

TLDR: Downpouring during school dismissal thru PM rush hour. Tonight rain/snow mix, very little accumulation. Deets:

HRRR model has the rain coming through late this afternoon. Severe unlikely with expected southern track of the low pressure center. read more

Heavy afternoon rain. Few storms. Severe unlikely. Tonight: fast cool down. Dusting possible < 1”. New HRRR model has less snow vs last night’s model.

Official NWS-Nashville forecast:

Reason for forecast change: models shifted the center of the storm south. This reduced severe concerns. It increased snow potential. read more

Rain moves in this afternoon. It might change to snow this evening. Some of us may even pick up a trace of accumulation. Models agree that a light dusting of snow is possible. However, our temp will barely be at freezing so don’t expect any frozen precip to last. Here is predicted snowfall amount from the NWS National Blend of Models, or NBM. Not encouraging for snow fans. read more

Late night models now love snow Monday night. Dusting? Will have more in the morning. 👍🏽.

Wild Monday. Rainy lunch. Heavy rain/storms 3 PM – 5 PM. Then a lull. Then evening rain to snow. No impacts (splat:melt). Timing via HRRR model 👇🏽.

Radar at 440pm shows a little rain entering Middle TN. No big deal.

See this rain radar image in the voice of bugs alarmingly exclaiming concern about incoming RAID bug spray. Gasp RAAAAID!!! / 537 PM