Models have had a very hard time handling how today will progress. Sooo embracing the uncertainty (as always) will be in play today.
The latest HRRR model shows the activity missing us to the south and east, leaving us dry…
Most models think a cluster(s) of showers/storms will be moving thru around rush hour Friday AM. The HRRR model thinks it’ll look something like:
Models are in fairly good agreement that these should be below severe limits. Although heavy rain, lightning and gusty winds will still be possible, just not really concerned about this – forecast could change.
Friday morning rush hour may be rainy, maybe even heavy-rainy. HRRR model:
Another storm round is possible later in the day Friday. I’ll update the HRRR model tonight with more data, but from what we see in the data now:
After a dry stretch, rain chances will return. Very low rain chances exist Wednesday and Thursday (~10%), with “better” chances on Friday and Saturday (40 – 50%). Most likely in the afternoon and evening, more specifics on timing will become clearer in the next couple of days.
Dewpoints in the mid 50s along with high temps only in the mid 80s have been absolutely wonderful today.
Temps will stay around average for this time of the year, minus Thursday + Friday.
Dewpoints begin to creep up.
Dewpoints magnificent today: mid/upper 50s. 👍🏽. Monday, about the same.
Then…
Dewps up Monday night – crossing 60. By Tuesday we’re approaching 65. Upper 60s Thursday night then hanging around 70 Friday into next weekend. Ooooof.
/ Like a photograph /
/ That time won’t erase /
/ Why can’t this [weather]… go on forever /
/ Go on forever and ever…ever and ever /
One can only dream. Unfortunately, this weather won’t go on forever, but we will have this weekend to soak it all in and enjoy it.
Can’t dial it up much better than this. Rain free weekend with lower temperatures + humidity got me feeling like…
Great weather for any outdoor activities, including the Titans preszn game.
No rain chances until maybe early next week.
Our temp + dewp combo this weekend does not seem like one that would be here in early August, but here we are.
High temps in the mid 80s and dewpoints in the upper 50s Saturday and Sunday…
No rain chances to speak of until maybe Tuesday, and even then – it’s still a maybe.
Thursday + Friday will be fairly hot, high temps in the lower 90s and dewpoints in the low 70s mean heat index values could reach around 100 degrees. Gross.
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