Our messaging has changed a bit, although not dramatically, from the past couple of days.
Long-story short [as possible], expected CAPE values (storm fuel) have trended up – mostly thanks to less cloud coverage than previous expected. This, along with sufficient shear (changing of wind direction/speed with height) has led the Storm Prediction Center to re-introduce low-end probabilities for severe weather. Although the threat is conditional, based upon several ingredients aligning.
Cloud cover, along with the occasional mist, has kept us well below of our expected high temperature.
I think this may keep us a couple of degrees below our expected high on Thursday as well – regardless, still warm.
High temperatures will get near the 70° mark today thru Friday, even into the mid 70s on Thursday – pushing the daily record high of 76°. That’s around 20-25° above average.
These Spring-like temps won’t last forever. We cool down a good bit after our cold front pushes thru on Friday, starting next week off slightly below average. Long-range models suggest warmer temps return by the middle of next week.
Very warm work week is in store for us. High temperatures will be ~20° above average over the next several days, including flirting with the daily record high on Thursday.
This won’t last too long – a cold front will come thru sometime later this weekend and bring temperatures back closer to average for this time of year.
Nice Friday in store for us, dry with highs nearing 60°. Although we cool down a good bit this evening, so you’ll want a jacket for any plans later on in the day.
The first half of Saturday will be a near copy and paste of today; any Valentine’s Day plans look good thru lunchtime.
We’re about 20° colder than we were 24 hours ago – that’s thanks to a cold front that moved thru overnight that brought a little bit of rain with it.
We’ll experience a slow warming trend as we get into this weekend, although not as warm as the 77° we saw on Tuesday, but still comfortably above average.
Today will be our last day of our two-day preview of Spring. High temps will easily make it into the low 70s – over 20° above average for this time of year. We’ll get fairly close to our daily record high of 76° set all the way back in 1932.
Today and Tuesday we’ll get a nice preview of Spring. High temperatures will be ~20° above average. Both days will be fantastic for any outdoor activities.
This preview will be fairly short-lived, as we return back to reality the rest of the week. However, we’ll still have slightly above average temperatures with highs in the mid 50s.
We should get some fairly efficient melting of anything that is still hanging on. We’re on our way to highs in the low 50s, with some rain coming this afternoon.
HRRR model gives a guess on how things play out, with rain starting this afternoon, lasting thru this evening.
Not really anything super noteworthy to write about – but the “warmer” temperatures are exciting. Normally, the 40s are not something I’d mention – but under these circumstances I’ll write all about it.
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