Same Old, Same Old + Drought Update

To start out, the new drought monitor came out today. The “update” is that there are no changes.

For our two counties, no changes have been made since last week. Most of us in the Abnormally Dry category, with some folks in extreme southern WillCo. in a Moderate Drought. read more

Moist Airmass Goin’ Nowhere

Sorry to sound like the forecast is stuck on repeat but hit or miss (mostly miss) rain chances continue to be the focus of the forecast.

A few folks may see a shower/non-severe storms over the next couple of hours this evening, but activity should be winding down as we head towards sunset. read more

Daily Random Rain Chances Stay On

Although pretty much everyone got at least some rain this morning, activity has been more isolated this afternoon. Some of us have picked up a decent amount of rain, others not so much.

Showers/non-severe storms will diminish in coverage as we head towards sunset tonight. read more

Daily Wattery Chances Continuing Thru the Week

Everyone will be playing the daily Wattery this week. Some days will have more winners than others.

Some of us have already won today, with showers/lightning storms chances continuing thru the evening. read more

Humid, Randomly Rainy Week Ahead

Morning rain and storms SE of us this morning. Seen by mid level water vapor imagery:

Lightningstorms for some of us are likely late this afternoon.

  • Exactly when and where is unclear. Long live the summertime wattery.
  • Unlikely all of us will get rain.

HRRR model for today, time stamp upper right (subtract 1 hour): read more

Less Heat, More Humidity, Rain Ahead

Plans tonight may be interrupted by random, pop up downpours and thunderstorms.

  • A warm front came thru today, sparking storms that went up, and collapsed fast.
  • Some of us will probably see a few downpours with lightning later this afternoon and early tonight, ending shortly after sundown.
  • Those with outdoor concert plans should be prepared.

HRRR model for tonight:

Same thing Sunday. Heat and humidity build through the afternoon, sparking downpours with lightning late afternoon through early evening. HRRR model: read more

Pour Some [Rain] On Me, Except On a Saturday Nite.

I mowed this morning – and can confirm, the grass is dry. Although I will say the cooler temps and shade was quite nice.

Rain chances today will be mostly confined to S of I-40. Not everyone will win. read more

A Welcomed Rainy Pattern Incoming

We shouldbe dry thru Friday night. Can’t totally rule out a couple of showers Fri PM, but most of us prob nothing.

Saturday, a boundary to our south will start to lift north, bringing the return of moisture and rain chances. These rain chances will stick around for a bit. read more

Cooler Temps: ✅ Decent Rain: ❓

We finally get some “cooler” weather. Now, it’ll still be warm, but temperatures will be very much near-average.

Some much-needed rain will also be in the forecast.

HRRR model shows some storms popping up around 8pm or so tonight. Not totally sold on this yet, but it’s possible. A storm or two could have some damaging straight-line winds. But chances are very low. read more

Heat Advisory Canceled Early, Rain Wednesday, Cooldown Starts Thursday

Even without the Heat Advisory, it’ll still be hot.

In hopes of cooling off, there will be an outside shot at winning the Wattery this afternoon/evening.

The HRRR model (above) shows the storm complex to our NW falling apart, with maybe some of us getting some rain. If a storm does surprise you, heavy rain, lightning and some gusty winds will be possible – but no severe weather expected. read more