Sorry to sound like the forecast is stuck on repeat but hit or miss (mostly miss) rain chances continue to be the focus of the forecast.
A few folks may see a shower/non-severe storms over the next couple of hours this evening, but activity should be winding down as we head towards sunset.
Although pretty much everyone got at least some rain this morning, activity has been more isolated this afternoon. Some of us have picked up a decent amount of rain, others not so much.
Showers/non-severe storms will diminish in coverage as we head towards sunset tonight.
Everyone will be playing the daily Wattery this week. Some days will have more winners than others.
Some of us have already won today, with showers/lightning storms chances continuing thru the evening.
Morning rain and storms SE of us this morning. Seen by mid level water vapor imagery:
Lightningstorms for some of us are likely late this afternoon.
HRRR model for today, time stamp upper right (subtract 1 hour):
Plans tonight may be interrupted by random, pop up downpours and thunderstorms.
HRRR model for tonight:
Same thing Sunday. Heat and humidity build through the afternoon, sparking downpours with lightning late afternoon through early evening. HRRR model:
I mowed this morning – and can confirm, the grass is dry. Although I will say the cooler temps and shade was quite nice.
Rain chances today will be mostly confined to S of I-40. Not everyone will win.
We shouldbe dry thru Friday night. Can’t totally rule out a couple of showers Fri PM, but most of us prob nothing.
Saturday, a boundary to our south will start to lift north, bringing the return of moisture and rain chances. These rain chances will stick around for a bit.
We finally get some “cooler” weather. Now, it’ll still be warm, but temperatures will be very much near-average.
Some much-needed rain will also be in the forecast.
HRRR model shows some storms popping up around 8pm or so tonight. Not totally sold on this yet, but it’s possible. A storm or two could have some damaging straight-line winds. But chances are very low.
Even without the Heat Advisory, it’ll still be hot.
In hopes of cooling off, there will be an outside shot at winning the Wattery this afternoon/evening.
The HRRR model (above) shows the storm complex to our NW falling apart, with maybe some of us getting some rain. If a storm does surprise you, heavy rain, lightning and some gusty winds will be possible – but no severe weather expected.
We did end up getting to 100° yesterday at BNA, fingers crossed we don’t repeat that today and tomorrow.
“…the last time we reached 100 two days in a row (at BNA) was just last year on August 24 and 25. If we get there today and tomorrow, that would be 3 days in a row. The last time we did that, we did it twice in one year: July and August 1990.” – NWS Nashville
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