Afternoon Sleet? Yes. Sleet. (Not Hail)

@Klappermom is the latest #tSpotter hero. She sent in this linked video, which for whatever reason we can’t embed, so here it is ( Turn up the sound! read more

Wet Thursday, Beautiful Weekend

Expect sun & clouds Tuesday and Wednesday, then the skies open Thursday. The below map from NOAA’s Weather Prediction Center dumps less than a half inch on us …

fill_99qwbg… but during the NWS media conference call this morning, the NWS said they think totals will be closer to an inch. read more

The Week Ahead - Unseasonably Cool

First, there’s a Dense Fog Advisory until Monday at 9am.


No complaints tomorrow – Monday’s high temp is 60, and we look like we are done with the rain.

Unseasonably cool temperatures return Tuesday. Morning wind chills Tuesday and Wednesday will be in the 30s. Tuesday’s high is only 50. Those high temps will slowly warm, but stay stuck in the 50s, through Friday. read more

The Rain Is Here. What About Easter Morning?

With a steady, light rain arriving, the next question is: what about the morning?

Our NWS says there’s a “chance” of rain.  I asked three models what they thought. Their opinions:

1.     HRRR says the rain will be gone by 3am: read more

Today’s Late Afternoon Rain/T’Storm ETAs

Our two short term weather models (HRRRand RAP) think rain will arrive before dark. The rain is coming from the SW (around Memphis) and will move NE. Don’t bet anything on the timing (models are often off by hours), just know the timing in these models are decent indicators of what’s to come. read more

Wet Easter Weekend


Our NWS forecasts no rain tomorrow morning, a chance of rain between 1pm and 7pm, and after that, yes, it’s going to rain until around 4am Sunday morning, perhaps even longer than that.

A quick look at two models illustrates the rain’s arrival. read more

It’ll Probably Rain Easter Morning

Yesterday’s weather models suggested rain Easter morning. Today’s models are saying the same thing:

Here’s what the European model looks like for us at 7AM Sunday morning. The rain is pink on this image: read more

Easter Morning Forecast - Rain?

Some of you are hoping to have outdoor services celebrating Jesus’ resurrection. Others may be planning to wear fancy clothes and hide eggs outside Sunday morning. Many of you will be doing both. read more

Snow While You Sleep - What the Models Think

There are two main short-range wx models: the RAP (Rapid Refresh) and HRRR (High Resolution Rapid Refresh). These are models, not forecasts, and can be wrong. Below are middle-of-the-night & morning rush hour snap shots of how much snow the models will think will fall in a one hour period. read more

Updated Snow Forecast 0.25″-0.50″

Here’s the NWS Graphic for snowfall accumulations overnight.