Showers, Few Storms Possible This Afternoon/Evening
First and foremost…happy Friday!
We are watching two weather features in specific today:
The first is a chance for pop-up afternoon storms, thanks to decent moisture in the area.
The second is a line of showers and storms still well to our west this morning that models are expecting to fizzle, but confidence is not high in this solution yet. Decent lift along an approaching cold front might support this line moving in to our area later today AND/OR more storms could re-develop as part of that line this afternoon.
HRRR Model Loop Today
Any storms that move in today/tonight could be on the strong side capable of damaging winds. The Storm Prediction Center has placed all of us in Middle Tennessee under a Marginal Risk (1 out of 5):
Showers and storms will pepper the area through the evening into the overnight before dissipating shortly after sunrise on Saturday morning. The NAM3 is a little more aggressive than the HRRR, but both are in decent agreement that Davidson County and areas in northern Middle Tennessee will experience rain and storms overnight. If you’re headed down for an evening on Broadway, bring the rain jacket and be prepared for a few heavy downpours.
Stick with @NashSevereWx on Twitter to see if any outdoor evening plans are going to be rain-filled or rain-free.
This Weekend – Dry With Nice Weather, Great Music Likely
High pressure takes hold tomorrow and Sunday, keeping us wholly dry. Temperatures in the mid 80s sound good, so that’s what we’ll forecast…86ºF each day!
Anyone have tickets to Matchbox Twenty & Counting Crows on Saturday? No need to take the umbrella on your way down to Bridgestone! In fact, it’ll be a great evening to have an outdoor, pre-show dinner.
Same news for Sunday and Santana at Ascend Amphitheater. No real rain worries!
Next Week, Wetter Pattern Returns
Monday night into Tuesday and Thursday/Friday will be our best chances for rain. Wednesday is the exception, remaining dry under the influence of high pressure. These rain chances are not all too widespread, so you will probably still have to water the lawn.
GFS Model Monday through Saturday AM