Warm Weather, More Rain In the Near Future

Hot! With Humidity On the Rise

Unseasonably warm weather continues across much of the southeast, including middle Tennessee this weekend. Southerly flow will begin to bring in more moisture tonight and tomorrow, foreshadowing our next rainy experience.

A surface front will meander our way tonight into tomorrow and become stalled out across the Ohio/Tennessee Valleys. This simply means rain chances are coming Sunday and beyond.

Easter Rain/Storms? Probably.

GFS Model For Sunday

Timing for this system is a bit more tricky than usual, but we are currently expecting this to be an afternoon/evening rain arrival. Good news for Easter Egg Hunters! This isn’t set in stone yet, and a few showers could still be possible in the morning. However, more models are trending “afternoon/nighttime” for the arrival of rain.

A couple storms could be on the stronger side, mainly off to the northwest of us, but severe weather is not truly anticipated.

Total Rainfall Estimates from the GFS Model — 0.1 to 0.45″ (more to the north)

For more frequent updates on Sunday rain chances, be sure to follow @NashSevereWx on Twitter.

Active Pattern Continues

After Sunday’s energy rolls through, expect a continued chance for rain and thunderstorms throughout the rest of the week. Monday will be the best chance at more rigorous activity, especially with a bit higher instability for the storms to work with.

Beyond that, your typical scattered, “summer-like” afternoon storms will return (isolated/scattered). Some could be strong, but again, no real severe weather threat exists at this time for any of the forecast period.

Keep the Pepsi on tap — no real changes in temperatures are expected, except for the continuation of a well above-normal pattern through next weekend.

By next Sunday, a major shift in the polar jet stream could bring us the chance for storms and much cooler air…we’ll be monitoring this closely.

5-Day Allergy Forecast From Pollen.com