Rain Likely Late Afternoon/Early Evening – High 49°
Upper level low pressure is pushing rain into Middle Tennessee. Check out the current radar above, or below:
This rain will probably mix with sleet/flakes. The upper low is bringing its own supercold temps, and making the ice. No worries, though, it’s way too warm at the surface to cause travel problems.
There’s a small chance of a thunderstorm or two developing. If one does, it’ll capable of producing small (pea sized) hail. Nothing severe.
The rain will end later tonight.
Freeze Warning Overnight
Officially, the low is 33°. Satellite trends indicate good potential for lingering cloud cover overnight, which will keep us warmer than forecast; however, it’ll be close enough to freezing that you should protect beloved vegetation.
Drying & Warming Start to the Week
The above model shows the amount of Convective Available Potential Energy (“CAPE”) expected Thursday morning. There’s not much of it. Add that to the fact the center of the storm will be near Milwaukee, and this doesn’t look like anything other than a quick-hitting, weak, marginally strong/severe thunderstorm event. I’m not concerned about it, but a lot can change. More on this tomorrow.
This website supplements @NashSevereWx on Twitter, which you can find here.
Categories: Forecast Blogs