Tonight – Warm & Muggy
Did we break the record (70°, set in 1873)?
No. We tied it.
No real change tonight. Temps ease into the mid-60°s, no rain.
Sunday – Near-Record Warmth; Very Windy; Evening Rain/Weak Storms – Early 59°, High 75°
Temps: If we make it to 75°, we’ll tie the record high for December 13, set in 1927.
Winds will gradually increase through the day. By noon, we should be gusting to 29 MPH, then 24 MPH by dark. Just before the rain gets here, we should really be howling, gusting to 36 MPH.
Winds Sunday afternoon/evening forecast to gust to 36 MPH. Secure inflatable Santas, decorations, beloved lightweight pets.
— NashSevereWx (@NashSevereWx) December 12, 2015
Rain/Storms: The system arriving Sunday night is currently in Texas, setting off more than a few Tornado Warnings. That system’s got CAPE and good mid-level support; we shouldn’t have any of that here Sunday night.
The NAM4 model expects showers to start showing up around 8-9 PM…
…with the main, decaying line due just after midnight.
The other models (GFS/Euro) agree on the timing. No severe weather is expected.
There’s a slight chance of a few rumbles of thunder, and maybe a strong wind gust or two. Otherwise, meh, mostly rain.
Rain should total around 0.68″, and it should be ending right around the Monday morning commute.
So, After This Rain Passes, It’ll Be Decembery, Right?
We will have to wait for a second cold front, arriving Wednesday night, to bring the temperatures back down. High Thursday 51°, Friday 48°.
This website supplements @NashSevereWx on Twitter, which you can find here.
Categories: Forecast Blogs