Sunday – Sunny, Clouds Arrive Late – Wake Up 35°, High 64°
NWS-Nashville announced they’re not issuing Frost or Freeze Advisories/Warnings for the rest of the winter. We may dip under freezing in some spots just before sunup, but officially we should stay just above freezing.
We’ll warm back up again in the afternoon as clouds slowly work closer.
Rain On The Way. Storms, meh.
This week’s storm system is currently a long ways off and will take some time to get going out west before gets here.
We may see a few showers arrive as early as Monday afternoon, but it will take more time than that for the good precipitation to get here. This system is pokey.
The midday runs of the GFS and European models don’t expect the approaching cold front to arrive until late Tuesday night and Wednesday morning. Once it gets here, given the abundance of moisture, we should see a rather impressive rain event.
Most of this rain is expected Tuesday night through Wednesday.
We can’t rule out a thunderstorm Tuesday night through Wednesday. There will be plenty of helicity (strong winds rotating the further up you go) which would support strong thunderstorms, but, again, the expected lack of instability/CAPE should limit, if not altogether eliminate, chances for severe weather. The Storm Prediction Center has excluded us from its severe weather outlook.
After that, the weather looks pretty uneventful through the rest of the week.