Current Radar – behold the rain approaching from our SW
Today – Dry – High: 65°
High pressure will keep us dry today with winds out of the NE bringing in drier air. Dew points will be in the low 40s this afternoon.
Showers are developing over Texas due to a surface low moving eastward. We will continue to stay under dry, high pressure this afternoon while showers amplify moving into Arkansas.
Halloween – Rainy & Dreary – Waking up: 46° High: 65°
As the high pressure moves off to the east clouds will begin to build in around midnight Friday into early Saturday morning. Showers with thunderstorms possible begin to move into the area possibly as early as Saturday 1:00 AM, if you believe the NAM4 model:
Other models delay the arrival of the rain until after noon.
The bulk of the rain from the low to west will continue through the morning hours into lunchtime.
It will be muggy in the afternoon with winds out of south at 5-10 mph.
Saturday 7:00 PM – 63° Overcast
We think you will definitely need the rain jackets and umbrellas for Trick-or-Treating in the evening.
The good news is we are not expecting any severe weather for Halloween. The models seem have only a total of .08 inches of rain from Saturday morning to Saturday 7:00 pm. There will be a few breaks in the rain all day, including after 7:00 pm. From Saturday morning to midnight it looks like we will receive 0.22 inches of rain, with most of it falling later in the evening.
We are not convinced regarding the timing of this. We will update this website later today, hopefully with increased confidence on ETAs. Of course, we will continue to update on Twitter @NashSevereWx.
Don’t forget to turn the clocks back an hour before you go to bed Saturday evening!
Sunday – Rain Continues – High: 65°
Models show rain still in the area moving eastward through the morning and afternoon hours. An upper level low will lift northeast during the day.
We will not see a break in the clouds until later on Monday.
Extended: Clearing Monday afternoon with an upper level ridge beginning to build in Monday evening into Tuesday morning. Temperatures will begin to warm up slightly into the mid 70s by Tuesday with plenty of sunshine.
This website supplements @NashSevereWx on Twitter, which you can find here.
Categories: Forecast Blogs