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Freezing Rain Appears Even More Unlikely; Weekend Looks Wet

Current Temps and Radar

Quick Summary: Next 48 Hours

Temps still pretty cold.

Freezing Rain now out of Thursday night’s forecast (more on this below):

But Rain is Coming.

New Year’s EveCold Tonight – Mid 20°s

Thursday/New Years Day – Chilly, Increasing Clouds, Rain on the Way – Wake Up 22°, High 42°

All week we’ve been jabbering about freezing rain potential Thursday night. Here’s the latest:

1.  Any precip we get tomorrow night will be really light.

2.  As that light precip falls, very dry air aloft will gobble it up. So, of the little precip coming, much of it won’t even make it to the surface.

3.  NWS-Nashville says the “lightest onset of freezing rain or sleet could be possible nearest the KY border around midnight to dawn on Friday.” They continue: “we may see a spit of freezing rain or a tiny ice pellet or two at onset near the TN/KY border between midnight and 6 AM Friday morning at best.”

4.  Any frizzy stuff that occurs should be gone in time for the morning commute.

Friday Rain – Wake Up 34°, High 42°

Rain is likely to continue Friday. Weather models don’t agree about how much.

NAM4 Model:

GFS-p Model

Official NWS Forecast:

Saturday – Much Warmer, More Rain – Wake Up 3, High 57°

We may see a break in the rain Saturday morning. But by Saturday night, we feel pretty confident with the arrival of a soaking rain in advance of an approaching cold front. Per the GFS model:

Sunday, the cold front will clear us out, and drop temps back into the 40s.

For your entertainment:

BTW, click this to talk smart nerd about freezing rain and temperature inversions at your NYE party tonight.

This website supplements @NashSevereWx on Twitter, which you can find here.

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