Tornado Watch Until Midnight

Current Radar Loops:

At 3:56 PM, the NWS posted this:

Keep an eye on those storms flying out of N Alabama.

Tornado Watch Until Midnight

Here is the Watch Information. Notice the Hazard Likelihood at the bottom:

Likelihood of tornadoes is “high,” but the odds of them being strong EF-2 or greater is “low.”

Here’s a refresher on the difference between a Tornado Watch and a Tornado Warning:

A breakdown of the various threats from our NWS:

(Note the “high” in the Hazard Likelihood above is for all tornadoes, but it’s “low” for strong tornadoes; it appears NWS split the difference and went with a “moderate” here).

ETA:

A Wind Advisory remains in effect from today until 7 AM Tuesday for 35 MPH wind gusts occurring outside the thunderstorm winds. During the NWS conference call this morning, 40 MPH gusts were mentioned.

Flash Flooding Is A Big Concern

We’ve seen a lot of rain, and more is coming:

The biggest hazard tonight is Flash Flooding potential.

We are expecting between 1″ and 3″ of rain, with some areas exceeding that total. The ground is already near saturation and there will be a lot of runoff.

Because this is an overnight event, it will be tough to judge the depth of water covering road ways. Don’t drive over water covered roads.

Depending on how the day goes, we may or may not edit this page again today, so please follow along @NashSevereWx on Twitter.

Warnings are never posted to this website, which is a supplement to additional content found @NashSevereWx on Twitter. Please consult multiple other sources for severe weather, especially local TV (2, 4, 5, 17).

Extended:

7-Day Forecast for Latitude 36.17°N and Longitude 86.78°W (Elev. 479 ft) - Internet Explorer 2014-10-13 16.24.45