Current Official Hourly Observation (taken at :53 on the hour)
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Current Radar Loop
It’s Severe Weather Awareness Week across the State of Tennessee. The NWS picked the right week — there’s a chance of severe weather Thursday.
Today’s topic is Flooding and Flash Flooding:
Tonight – Rain Ending
As the rain moves out, we will cool off just a touch as this cold front eases through. This will make for a mostly clear evening. Watch the clearing happen on water vapor imagery:
Don’t worry, it’ll be nice tomorrow.
Countdown to Spring:
Tuesday – Sunny – Morning Low 32 / Afternoon High 66
Jacket in the morning, t-shirt in the afternoon.
Wednesday – Mostly Sunny & Warm! – Morning Low 45 / Afternoon High 62
There is a small chance of rain, but it’s a really small chance.
If it got any nicer, we might have to deal with severe weather… Oh, wait…
Official extended NWS Forecast:
Severe Weather Possible Thursday PM
The SPC (Storm Prediction Center) has included us in its “Day 4″ outlook. They forecast a 30%+ chance for severe weather occurring within 25 miles of us:
Storms will sweep across Tennessee in a line. Timing with this system has sped up just a bit, so we are expecting this event to arrive Thursday night instead of early Friday morning.
Our main concern at this time is damaging straight line winds. A tornado, embedded inside the squall line, is possible, but the chance of that is low.
GFS model Thursday Noon – Friday 6 am:
We will have more details tomorrow.
Spring is not here to stay. There is a 70% chance of below-average temps next week (Feb 23 – 27):
Cold air will continue into March. Here’s the outlook for Feb. 25 – Mar. 3 (according to the Climate Prediction Center):
Additional information can be found on Twitter @NashSevereWx.