Pop-up afternoon storms should diminish after dark. The HRRR thinks a few showers may survive sundown and arrive from NW TN around 5am.
Thursday – 58/83
We will wake up to fog in the usual spots.
Daytime heating may set off scattered showers and thunderstorms Thursday afternoon through sundown. These will be of the hit or miss variety.
Friday – 63/79
Rain and thunderstorms are likely all day, but severe weather is not expected. We might see some lightning and gusty winds, but this will primarily be a rain event.
Through 7pm Friday, we expect around 0.50″ of rain:
From 7pm Friday to 1am Saturday, another 0.30″ of rain is expected:
Rainfall should total around 1′ from Friday morning through early Saturday morning.
Saturday/Steeplechase – 61/72
The models generally think it’ll be raining Saturday morning while we sleep, but it should (we think right now) be gone by the time we wake up. Here’s the WPC rainfall map for Saturday from 7am to 1pm, showing most of the rain will have moved off to the east in time for ballgames, Steeplechase, Fiddlin’ Fish 5K and 1 mile walk, etc.
Expect Steeplechase grounds, ball fields, etc to be wet from the almost 1″ of rain Friday, Friday night, and Saturday morning. Some fields will not be playable. You’ll want wet-friendly shoes for Steeplechase.
Our NWS says it’s possible a “secondary surge of moisture” could return Saturday night, but that should be after most of the fun has been had.
Because Steeplechase is sandwiched between two potential rain events, you still need to have a rain plan. No promises for a dry Saturday, but so far it looks encouraging, all things considered. The timing of the rain may change. Look for more updates tomorrow.
Sunday – 52/67
Drying out. This drying trend should extend through the middle of next week.