Squall Line Expected Sometime Thursday. Damaging Winds Likely. Few Tornadoes Possible

Just got off the weekly NWS conference call with media and emergency management. Here’s the scoop:

1.   Expect a squall line of storms to arrive Thursday. Damaging “straight line” winds are the most likely threat. A few tornadoes are also possible.

2.  We aren’t sure what time the storms will be here. Notice the three models, below. Two bring the storms in the morning. One brings them in around sundown.

American GFS model – ETA 7am:

Hola GFS

American NAM model – ETA 10am:

Hola NAM

European Model – ETA 7pm


3.  Expect about 1″ of rain Thursday. Some areas may get close to 2″. Rain is not the main concern.

Storms are expected to be strong/severe regardless of when they arrive. The best ETA for us would be early Thursday morning, which would help depress storm intensity.

Consult reliable weather sources this week. We should have a much better idea about the ETA as we move closer to Thursday.