During the afternoon discussion about Thursday’s storm potential, our NWS said:
THE SETUP LOOKS LIKE A QLCS EVENT FOR MID TN WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW TORNADOES. THERE ARE STILL A LOT OF UNCERTAINTIES REGARDING TIMING AND DETAILS...SO PLEASE MONITOR UPDATED FORECASTS AND OUR HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK CLOSELY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
This means we think there will be a squall line – with the potential for a few tornadoes – either (1) early Thursday morning or (2) Thursday afternoon. (QLCS is weather-speak for Quasi Linear Convective System, best referred to as a squall line).
(1) The American (GFS) model gives us a 7am Thursday ETA:
(2) The European model gives us a 1pm Thursday ETA:
There are real uncertainties about the timing and nature of these storms. Monitor reliable weather sources this week as the picture becomes clearer and more details are evident.
I’ll let the NWS break the good news to you:
THE GOOD NEWS IN THE EXTENDED FORECAST IS THAT VERY NICE WEATHER IS EXPECTED AGAIN NEXT WEEKEND.