Scattered showers possible thru the evening, rain gear handy for any plans tonight will be useful.
A few stray showers can’t be ruled out Saturday during the day, but most of the rain chances will hold off until the evening – when a cold front pushes thru the area. This will bring some rain and signal the end of our warmer weather (for now). No thunderstorms expected.
Our probabilities for severe weather have been bumped up just a tad.
The Storm Prediction Center now has us in a 15% chance of damaging straight-line winds and hail within 25 miles.
Chance for a tornado within 25 miles remains at 2%.
Rain/storms are expected to move into the area throughout the remainder of the day, with a low chance of being strong to severe.
The Storm Prediction Center has us outlooked with a 5% chance of damaging straight-line winds and/or hail within 25 miles. We are also outlooked with a 2% chance of a tornado within 25 miles. All relatively low chances, but not zero.
We have been outlooked by the Storm Prediction Center with:
for Wednesday – Thursday morning.
Although this is relatively a very low threat for severe weather, it isn’t zero – so let’s discuss.
Low to mid 70s were common today, and it won’t be the last time we see these temperatures this week.
High temps 20°+ above average will continue to be common throughout the week. Very unusual temps for the beginning of February.
Punxsutawney Phil saw his shadow this morning, which means 6 more weeks of winter – or so the rodent thinks.
But looking at the 7 day temp forecast…he seems like a liar.
High temps at least 60° every day, with several days in the low 70s. Monday, Wednesday and Thursday all have the potential to tie/break the daily record highs. No freezing temps in sight.
After today, it’s all warm.
High temperatures will be 20+ degrees above average, getting close to our daily record highs on Monday, Wednesday and Thursday.
Our start to February will feel more like April.
Showers/storms have moved off to our east – leaving us with a dry rest of the weekend.
Relative to the rest of the forecast, Saturday will be cool. However, 53° is still ~5° above average.
Starting Monday thru at least Thursday, we’ll be 20 to 25 degrees above(!) average. This will lead to us getting very close to daily record high temps. February making quite the entrance.
There’s been about half an inch of rain already measured at BNA so far, with more on the way.
HRRR model (above) thinks rain continues on/off throughout the night, tapering off near the AM commute. Not a bad idea to have rain jackets handy in the morning. Can’t totally rule out a rumble of thunder overnight, but it’s unlikely.
Rain is expected to move into the area Thursday morning, some break during parts of the afternoon and evening, then more soaking rain overnight Thursday into early Friday AM. Not expecting any thunderstorms, just rain. Rainfall totals low enough to keep our flooding threat very low, although some low-lying areas could see some ponding.
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