Several of us have seen rain thus far this afternoon, a few have even seen some downed trees – thanks to a downburst.

Tree damage + power outages – not cool. However, the rain has taken the heat index from 105° to the upper 80s at BNA. read more

Today we’ve experienced one of, if not the hottest day thus far this year. Thankfully, dewpoints in the low 60s have kept the heat index right near the actual air temperature.

These hot temperatures aren’t going anywhere, with high temps in the 90s thru the remainder of the forecast. read more

Although it is a dry weekend, it sure is a hot one.

Today and Saturday will be hot, but the heat index won’t differ too much from the actual air temperature.

Sunday and Monday will be the hottest. Dewpoints will creep up, allowing for the heat index to surpass 100°. If you have to be outside either of those days, take it easy. Take frequent breaks in the shade and/or A/C.

Monday seems to be our only day with rain chances in the forecast, but those chances are low.

"Monday will be Middle TN`s best shot
at getting some rain in this forecast package. Unfortunately, it`s
still not a great shot. Will maintain a 20-30% chance, however, if
you get a storm on Monday afternoon, expect brief heavy rainfall,
lots of lightning and even the potential for some gusty winds." - NWS Nashville AFD read more

90s as far as the eye can see…

The humidity could be nicer, but it could also be worse. Dewpoints in the mid to upper 60s will make ya sweat faster.

Peak heat will be Sunday (sorry dads), with high temperatures flirting with the 100° mark, but models think we fall just short. Regardless, heat index values may exceed 100°. Only a little better for days not named Sunday, heat index values in the upper 90s still possible. read more

Today is the last day to get any outside yardwork done, at least in somewhat comfortable weather, for the foreseeable future.

Dewpoints in the 50s today, turn up into the mid 60s tomorrow, upper 60s by the weekend. Grosssssss. read more

Today was/will be one of the last days we experience nice temperatures for the foreseeable future.

NWS Nashville made this handy dandy graph to show how to combo of temperatures + humidity will worsen throughout the week. Emphasis on worsen. read more

I am getting the same feeling looking at the temperatures for later this week as I do when I am forced to climb the old, scary, wooden ladder I have – “oh great here we go again.” I don’t like heights – or supahot temps. read more

So far today rain has been kind to us – mostly missing us. Models continue to think this trend will continue throughout the day, with only the occasional shower and low thunderstorm chances.

The HRRR model, shown above, thinks we’ll get away with a dry afternoon and only a few light showers along a cold front that will push thru around sunset, bringing relief from the humidity for the next couple of days. Still not a bad idea to bring rain gear to the CMA Fest, just not sure how much you’ll need it.

We are left with a nearly rain-free week ahead.

"Through this week, a stray pop-up shower or storm cannot be ruled
out, particularly late week when humidity creeps up. But for the
most part, models show the dry air and strong ridge suppressing
any significant rain chances." - NWS Nashville AFD read more

Most of the rain we saw this morning has already moved out, with only a few showers left over. Models think all the morning activity will be gone by around lunchtime, and we get away with a dry afternoon. read more

Showers, and some storms are already moving thru the area and will continue to do so throughout the day, as illustrated below by the imperfect HRRR model.

There is a decent amount of CAPE (storm fuel) out there, but very little to no wind energy. These storms may become strong briefly, with some gusty winds and small hail, but will not be able to hold on for very long. Flash flooding potential today is low – but not zero. Slow moving storms will have the potential to drop a lot of rain in not a lot of time. read more