Quick Showers Monday Evening, Rainy Wednesday PM - Thanksgiving Possible

Monday will be our last warm day we have for the foreseeable future with highs getting into the upper 60s.

Light showers are expected to move thru the area Monday afternoon + evening, mostly evening. Not expected to be a big deal.

HRRR model gives its best guess below:


The main talk of the town:

“The second shot at rain moves into the area late Wednesday afternoon and will likely provide us a good amount of rain. 1 to 2 inches is still in the cards between Wednesday night and Thursday [Thanksgiving]…” – NWS Nashville

The big question is how long the rain sticks around into Thanksgiving Day.

The Euro has been trending drier for Turkey Day, while the GFS has been fairly consistent with keeping showers around for Thanksgiving. The high-res models aren’t quite in range yet, so we have yet to see their opinions on this.

Those high-res models will come into range over the next day or so, and we’ll likely get a better grasp on how this will unfold. But for now, the models look like…

Thanksgiving Fall Down GIF

What is a bit more certain is a reinforced shot of cold air following Thanksgiving. We’ll likely see temps dip into the 20s for the first time this season maybe Friday, but more likely Saturday.

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