Forecast Blogs

More Showers (Maybe Storms) Through Tonight; Cooler After This

A strong cold front has been causing us some rain and thunderstorms today.

0.33″ fell late thig morning into the lunch hours at the official observation site at BNA.

More rain is coming, for most of us anyway.

Below is the latest HRRR model. It’s got a heavy downpour for some, very little/nothing for others. ETA: late afternoon into the early evening. Notice the time stamp on the upper left.

I doubt the HRRR has the timing and placement of rain/storms exactly right.

There may be a few thunderstorms associated with this line before sunset. There’s no real concern for severe weather, just a 5% probability of a damaging wind event. Rain should be out of our counties by late tonight.

Rest Of The Week

Since this system is associated with a cold front we will see much cooler temperatures for mid-week. Tuesday we aren’t getting out of the 60s, yikes. We slowly climb back up the the 80s by the weekend.

Although cooler, this week will be beautiful with sunny skies, low dew points and dry conditions! Rain chances come back into the picture with the end of the weekend. Rain and storm chances increase through the weekend, with Sunday the most likely day for rain. But at this range, there is no clear view of what to reasonably expect.

Personal Note

Sadly this is my last day writing for Nash Severe. Thank you for trusting me with your forecast and supporting my dreams. Thank you to the Nash Severe team for believing in me and helping me grow. I am so thankful for this Nashville community and it has been a blast writing whether it was at 6am, at the beach or on Thanksgiving. You can’t keep up with me on my journey at @meganhanna_wx.

(Editor’s Note: Megan has been fantastic! As finals approach, our interns start to roll off. School comes first! Please follow her career. I am sure you’ll see her somewhere soon :).)

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Categories: Forecast Blogs