Forecast Blogs

Looking Back 2 Years Ago, then at Rain and Storms Sunday & Monday.

Obviously this is a difficult day for many of us, the two year tornado anniversary. In 2020 we wrote a retrospective, last year I wrote a personal note on the one year anniversary, today we invite you to what Riley Eillis wrote about her friends who were lost in Nashville that night.

If storm anxiety is a problem for you, you are not alone, this might help.


Check out the temps:

We’ll be quiet until rain and maybe a few thunderstorms arrive Sunday (most likely in the afternoon). Sunday the severe weather ingredients should be west of us. SPC outlooked those west of us for severe Sunday:

Rain and storms should rerack and reform for Monday. Monday is more likely to bring severe weather to us.

“[O]n Monday … a stronger Plains trough brings a cold front through the mid state late Monday afternoon into the evening. Main threat with any strong to severe storms Monday will be damaging winds, if diurnal timing line[s] up with the front, but models still do not agree on timing just yet.” NWS-Nashville, 3/3/22 AM Forecast Discussion

I highlighted the big IF for Monday. Severe storms require the right timing and sequencing. We may not get that Monday. It may be just a lot of rain.

Most models estimate 1.3″ to 1.6″ rain total Sunday and Monday with almost all of that coming Monday. I would not put much/any trust in that. The good news is the models aren’t setting this up for another flood event.

Colder Tuesday.

Quick References:

Weather changes constantly.
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Categories: Forecast Blogs