Rain to End 2016, Rain to Begin 2017
New Year’s Eve Forecast
We have been saying this for almost a week now, and unfortunately at least the daytime of New Year’s Eve appears to be a washout. Rain will prevail through the remainder of the afternoon into the beginning of the evening.
Latest run of the HRRR wants to keep a blanket of showers through the day, then transitions into more scattered showers by the late evening hours (great news for NYE).
The bottom line for today into tonight is to have the umbrella and rain gear ready to go. This particular run of the HRRR gives hope that we may be able to get some dry conditions by midnight for those planning to watch the Music Note Drop in downtown Nashville, but model’s should only be used for guidance.
In the afternoon discussion by the National Weather Service Office in Nashville, they shed some light on what to expect tonight:
Those "celebrating outdoors tonight may not get soaked, but will have to
deal with low clouds, patchy drizzle and some fog." —@NWSNashville
— NashSevereWx (@NashSevereWx) December 31, 2016
All we can do now is prepare for the rain and hope for the best that the rain will move along by midnight.
New Year’s Day & Titans Game Forecast
Semi-good news for all of those with New Year’s Day plans, the rain may hang around, but it does not appear to be a washout for the day.
Latest model runs seem to show most of the heavier rain staying to our south, with scattered showers hanging around our area through the day.
NAM 4 (shown below) likes this idea.
Once again, the bottom line for the day is to still have the rain gear handy, but some of us may see a couple of hours here and there where we stay dry.
This also appears to be good news for those with plans to head out to the Titans game. Still plan to take the rain gear to the game because there will likely be periods of off and on rain throughout the game, but the game does not appear to be a complete wash out.
As for our temps during the game, temps will actually warm fairly nicely into the 50s by kickoff. Winds will stay calm through the day as well, 5-10 mph from the east northeast to start the day and shifting to the southeast by the afternoon.
Red – Temperature | Blue – Wind Chill | Green – Dew Point
Monday & Tuesday
By Sunday night, expect to see a cold front pass through the area, bringing another round of showers through the day on Monday and into Tuesday.
Monday appears to be another all-day rain event. We will have some instability in our atmosphere, so we could see a thunderstorm or two Monday afternoon. Rain should begin to dissipate overnight on Monday and be fairly scattered into Tuesday.
Rain Exiting Tuesday Night, Dry Into Wednesday
We will finally see a period of dry conditions by mid next week. By the end of next week, models continue to hint at another cold front and the possibility of a wintry mix. Temperatures will more than likely be cold enough to support this, but once again moisture may be scarce so nothing is set in stone this far out.
This website supplements @NashSevereWx on Twitter, which you can find here.
Categories: Forecast Blogs