Enter Clouds, Enter Rain, Enter Warm Temps On Christmas Day

Oh, Cloudy Day

A rain maker is already moving through the Missouri valley and will eventually reach us by early Saturday morning.

The HRRR model has a good handle on this through the evening:


Rain On Christmas Eve, No Snow

Tree tops will glisten and children can still listen for sleigh bells in the rain. I’ll be dreaming of another white Christmas for next year.

Much of Saturday will be dictated by rainfall. The 4KM NAM below starts the rain early Saturday AM, too, overspreading the area during the day:


A southerly wind will play a role in moisture return and warmer temperatures, including our unseasonably warm Christmas Day.


A solid 1-2″ of rain will fall between late tonight and the day on Saturday. Make sure to have the rain gear on hand.

Is this Christmas in July or actually Christmas?

The reason I ask is because afternoon highs on Sunday are expected to peak around 70º.


According to NWS Nashville, our warmest Christmas on record was in 1889 and the high was 73º. Will we break/tie this? Probably not, but it’s possible…considering all of the other records we’ve broken this year, why not another?

It all truly depends on the resurgence of warm air from the deep south and how much of that makes it further north. I’m sure you’ll see some sort of crazy-cool GIF on Twitter from us if we do tie/break the more than a century-old Christmas maximum temp.

More Rain On Days 359-362 of 2016


Rain is possible Monday through Thursday, intermittently, with the best chance for showers and thunderstorms next Thursday. Expect warmer than average temperatures through the extended period, cooling off a bit late next week.

Current Radar

This website supplements @NashSevereWx on Twitter, which you can find here.