Rain Starting This Evening
A chilly rain, at that.
If you’re planning on a night out, a rain jacket, boots, and/or an umbrella would all be helpful.
Rain Needed? Coming Right Up!
How about four more days of it?
Sunday will start as a continuation of Saturday with showers encompassing most of the middle state.
4KM NAM at 1PM Sunday
By afternoon, however, most computer models agree on shutting down the sprinkler system. We remain dry until…
Monday night, when more energy provides the chance for rain, round 2. With a highly dynamic and fast-paced shortwave moving through, a few embedded thunderstorms are possible, but no severe weather is anticipated.
Dry Time Tuesday PM – Wednesday
A break in the action later Tuesday into Wednesday will give the atmosphere a rest before more precip returns late Wednesday night.
Thursday’s Strong Cold Front
There are still some model disagreements on the speed of rain versus cold air intrusion on Thursday. What’s meant by that is, the faster the air can cool to or below 32°, the higher the potential for some light rain to changeover to a mix or all snow here in middle TN.
If we see any wintry precipitation, it will be light and during the early morning hours on Thursday. Once temperatures start to climb through the day, a changeover to rain is most probable.
Since the American and European models are not agreeing quite yet, the chance for accumulating snow is very low, but something we’ll keep an eye on.
Total Rain Accumulation Through Late Week
1-2″ of total rain between now and Thursday are probable, with locally higher amounts likely. I wouldn’t be surprised to see 3-3.5″ on some rain gauges by late week.
BIG Temperature Drop
Thursday night, we’ll dip into the lower 20s and upper teens. Brr!
Friday Morning GFS Temperatures
Friday’s afternoon temps barely make it above the freezing mark, so quite a weather pattern shift is on tap for the beginning of next weekend.
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Categories: Forecast Blogs