Rain Tomorrow. Weekend Outlook Looking More Promising

Current Radar

Tonight: Rain Clearing? Think so.

Rain came early today. Still have a few lingering showers that should exit as we head into the evening hours. Partly cloudy skies will follow behind, may eventually get some clear skies overnight.

There is a very tiny chance of some showers redeveloping late tonight (around or before midnight). If this happens, we will let you know on Twitter @NashSevereWx

Temps are expected to drop into the mid-to-low 70s overnight.

Friday: Sunny Morning, Rain Chances Afternoon On – Wake Up 72° High 90°

Another great start to the end of the work week. Clear skies should prevail through most of the AM hours into the early afternoon. Temps expected to reach the upper 80s maybe hitting 90° for our high. Still have a lot of moisture in our atmosphere with those dew points in the low 70s.

As we progress through the day, expect to see some more showers and thunderstorms. Timing for tomorrow is still a little wishy washy with most models showing very different time frames. We could get some showers/storms to develop through the afternoon ahead of our “better chance” rain maker.

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A shortwave is expected to pass through midday and bring those showers and storms with it. This shortwave should exit our area overnight into Saturday morning. Depending when this shortwave moves through will greatly determine when we could see these showers.

NAM 4 has these showers/storms rolling through in the late evening:

hires_ref_nashville_46.png (1000×750) - Google Chrome 2016-07-14 07.18.26

We are under a “Marginal Risk” for severe weather from the Storm Prediction Center for tomorrow. If these showers/storms move through in the late afternoon, we could get a few severe storms; but if they roll through late at night like the NAM 4 is showing, probably would see only strong (non-severe) thunderstorms.

Main concern is damaging winds.

Extended Outlook: Sunny, Humid, Rain Chances Dwindling

My Forecast - Google Chrome 2016-07-14 06.50.05

Models continue to trend towards a “drier” weekend than previously thought.

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Best chance of rain on Saturday appears to be in the AM hours if there are any left over rain from Friday. Sunday looks to be fairly average for the summertime; we could get a thunderstorm in the afternoon/we could not. Monday our rain chances will begin to increase again as an upper level trough may bring some more convection through our atmosphere; which could jump start some showers and thunderstorms.

Temps will stay in the upper 80s-low 90s through the weekend with our dew point temps sticking in the low 70s.

Allergy Report: 5-Day Pollen.com Forecast

5 Day Pollen Allergy Forecast for Nashville, TN (37201) _ Pollen.com - Google Chrome 2016-07-14 06.44.45

This website supplements @NashSevereWx on Twitter, which you can find here.