Warmer Sunday, Rain, Then Storms Monday

Current Radar

Tonight: Chilly, A Few More Clouds – 9PM 43°

Temperatures will drop back into the 40s by mid-evening. A slow increase in clouds will occur ahead of our next weather maker that begins impacting our area on Sunday…

Sunday: AM Rain Possible, Then Cloudy With a Spot Shower – Early 36° High 66°

The high-resolution models (HRRR and NAM4) are saying we could see some rain Sunday morning (the global models, GFS/Euro do not). This activity should move in and out quickly, ending by midday. Here’s what radar might look like, according to the NAM4 model:


Update: After the rain, clouds will prevail for most of the day. A chance for another shower comes late afternoon, with the greatest threat to northern Davidson County. Temperatures, however, will warm nicely into the mid-60s by the afternoon.

Monday: Cloudy, PM Storms…Strong? – Early 54° High 71°

When it gets warmer, at least during the springtime, the expectation is that rain will soon follow. That thinking continues, with rain and storms becoming likely Monday afternoon through the evening.

Update: At this point, instability will be very low for severe weather; however, there is a chance that one or two storms could misbehave. We will continue to monitor this situation.

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When the rain comes to an end late Monday night into Tuesday AM, most of Davidson and Williamson Counties will have accumulated about 0.5″ of rain. Locally higher amounts, especially in Williamson County, are possible.

Allergy Report:

I’m grabbing extra tissues; you might want to, also. Tuesday we only get slight relief from the pollen count.

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Extended Outlook:

Tuesday and Wednesday we dry out nicely, with temperatures back to near-normal values.

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This website supplements @NashSevereWx on Twitter, which you can find here.