Happy Friday! Overcast. High: 59°
Most of the rain we saw overnight has pushed off to the east . There will be a few pesky isolated showers in our area this morning, but nothing really umbrella worthy.
The cloud cover will hang around today into tonight. Temperatures will be above normal in the upper 50s with some areas reaching the low 60s.
Rain will begin to develop late this evening in East Texas ahead of an arctic cold front that’s slowly and inexorably marching our way.
Saturday – Rain, Maybe Even Thunderstorms – Waking Up: 49° High: 57°
Rain is expected to be off and on all day, and should be heavy at times.
The Storm Prediction Center issued a marginal risk of strong thunderstorms for western Middle Tennessee. We’re not included in the risk area, but storms to our west and southwest could be strong or maybe/probably not severe, then move our way. We aren’t anticipating severe weather Saturday, but because we’re “downstream” of active weather, we’ll have to closely watch it.
As for the rain itself, the NAM4 model think it will move into our western counties early Saturday morning.
With another complex of showers arriving around lunchtime.
The rain will continue late on Saturday.
Most of the rain has moved to the northeast by midnight. The blue stuff you see is snow per the NAM4 model, which may stay north of us into the overnight/wee hours of Sunday morning.
Sunday – Colder! Waking Up: 33°, Just Getting Colder From There
The GFS and Euro models disagree with the NAM4, and think there will be some Sunday morning flakes flying.
No snow accumulation is expected. We’ll have to wait, or move, if we want stuff like this:
Accumulating snow is forecast comfortably north of us.
The big weather story will be the arctic front. It’ll arrive as we sleep Saturday night, and slash temperatures by 20° to 25°.
Sunday will be cold! By noon, we should be below freezing and on our way into the 20°s, bottoming out at 20° early Monday morning.
Extended: Clearing out Sunday evening then mostly sunny on Monday! More light snow is possible late Tuesday. Right now this looks like no big deal.
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Categories: Forecast Blogs