Current Official Hourly Observation (taken at :53 on the hour)
Current Radar Loop
Today – Hot & Humid – High 95, Heat Index 99
With moisture continuing to stream in, we can’t rule out a few afternoon/early evening showers or thunderstorms. The HRRR thinks we’ll see just a few, but the Hi-Res NAM predicts a lot of rain around 6 PM tonight (see below).
Monday – A Lot Rain; Severe Weather Possible – Wake Up 74, High 89
Rain is likely all day. We expect 1.2″ through Tuesday morning. The Hydrometeorological Prediction Center predicts over 1.5″:
Localized flooding is a concern. The front pushing the rain/storms through will be moving very slowly.
The probability of a severe happening event happening to you, or within 25 miles of you, is 15%. From the Storm Prediction Center:
Damaging winds and flooding are the main concern. Hail is less likely. A tornado is even less likely — all we can say is that we can’t rule one out.
By Tuesday night, we clear out. The cold front will have arrived, sending high temps down to 82 Tuesday, then this:
This website supplements @NashSevereWx on Twitter.