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Beautiful Weekend + Details On Our Next Rainmaker

Tonight

Clear and cooling off. Expect 72 at 7pm, 65 at 10pm.

Saturday — Very Nice — High 81

7am 56 . 10am 70 . 1pm 79 . 4pm 81 . 7pm 74 . 10pm 65

Patchy early morning fog is possible (in the usual spots). It should mix out by 9 a.m., and give way to partly sunny skies.

By Saturday night, more clouds will file in, but there is no rain in the forecast.

Sunday — Still Nice — High 81

7am 59 . 10am 72 . 1pm 80 . 4pm 81 . 7pm 73 . 10pm 66

Almost exactly like Saturday, with the only possible exception of a remote chance of a sprinkler Sunday night. Officially, though, we expect 0.00″ rain Sunday.

Next Weather Event:  Mid-Week

Rain may begin Tuesday night, and by Wednesday . . .

. . . “showers and thunderstorms should be plentiful.” (NWS, Afternoon Forecast Discussion, October 11, 2013; the above graphic is the GFS 12z weather model for Wednesday night).

We think the rain will end late Thursday or Friday. Fall returns next weekend.

The midweek thunderstorms have a low severe potential. There should be plenty of storms and wind shear, but the lack of sufficient moist air (called CAPE: convective available potential energy) means thunderstorm updrafts won’t be strong enough to sustain severe storms. More on this tomorrow.

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