Tonight
Clear and cooling off. Expect 72 at 7pm, 65 at 10pm.
Saturday — Very Nice — High 81
7am 56 . 10am 70 . 1pm 79 . 4pm 81 . 7pm 74 . 10pm 65
Patchy early morning fog is possible (in the usual spots). It should mix out by 9 a.m., and give way to partly sunny skies.
By Saturday night, more clouds will file in, but there is no rain in the forecast.
Sunday — Still Nice — High 81
7am 59 . 10am 72 . 1pm 80 . 4pm 81 . 7pm 73 . 10pm 66
Almost exactly like Saturday, with the only possible exception of a remote chance of a sprinkler Sunday night. Officially, though, we expect 0.00″ rain Sunday.
Next Weather Event: Mid-Week
Rain may begin Tuesday night, and by Wednesday . . .
. . . “showers and thunderstorms should be plentiful.” (NWS, Afternoon Forecast Discussion, October 11, 2013; the above graphic is the GFS 12z weather model for Wednesday night).
We think the rain will end late Thursday or Friday. Fall returns next weekend.
The midweek thunderstorms have a low severe potential. There should be plenty of storms and wind shear, but the lack of sufficient moist air (called CAPE: convective available potential energy) means thunderstorm updrafts won’t be strong enough to sustain severe storms. More on this tomorrow.
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