High temperatures above average thru Sunday, then a cold front pushes thru sometime Sunday PM, knocking our temps down to where they ought to be this time of year – bringing in more of a Fall feel.
No rain chances to talk about for the remainder of the week.
In fact, most of the lower 48 will be dry over the next seven days.
An updated drought monitor will come out tomorrow and will presumably show improvement in our drought thanks to recent rainfall.
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As a cold front pushes thru the area, some light showers will be possible this afternoon and evening, no big deal – some (most?) of us will stay dry. HRRR model shown below
Andddd besides that, there are no more rain chances to discuss for this week. Warm afternoons, cool mornings.
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A few spotty showers are traversing thru the area and will continue to do so thru the evening. Not everyone will see rain and those that do will only see some light rain. Don’t see it seriously affecting any outdoor plans. You can always check the radar on our website here: Radar | Nashville Severe Weather
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On and off light showers will be possible thru the rest of the day as a low-pressure system sitting over us continues to squeeze moisture out, but any rainfall totals will be very light. You can always check the radar on our website here: Radar | Nashville Severe Weather
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Continued on/off showers will continue thru tonight.
Rain gear seems like a must have for any outdoor activities. No downpours, no lightning, just rain.
Same thing for Sunday. Rain jacket will be a good idea, morning, afternoon, and evening.
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As of 1:15p BNA has measured 4.05″ of rain and counting, similar rainfall totals have fallen across our two counties. Thankfully, the rainfall rates have been manageable, and we have only seen a couple of instances of water over roads.
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Summary:
- A Wind Advisory and Flood Watch will go into effect tonight at 7p and go thru 7a Saturday
- Wind gusts up to up to 40 mph will be possible, strongest winds most likely Friday afternoon & evening
- Rainfall totals from tonight – Saturday, likely in the 2-4″ range – maybe less, maybe more
- Heaviest rain expected tonight – midday Friday, localized flooding possible, no widespread issues expected
- No tornado concerns, lightning unlikely
- We have no clue if your flight will be delayed/canceled
A rough timeline (!that could change!)
- This evening: rain begins, increasing in coverage and intensity
- Overnight tonight: fairly consistent rain, heavy at times
- Friday AM: heavier rain continues, winds will likely start to pick up
- Friday midday: on/off heavy rain continues, 30-40mph wind gusts possible
- Friday evening: the rain begins to lighten up, 30-35mph wind gusts still possible
- Saturday: scattered showers possible throughout the day, winds will let up
Now for the deets.
Latest HRRR model expects rain to begin tonight around 6p, +/- an hour or so.
A steady, consistent rain will continue throughout overnight and continue into Friday.
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A couple of showers are possible thru this evening, but I think most of the activity stays to our west. Outdoor activities should be okay besides maybe a quick shower. You can always check the radar on our website: Radar | Nashville Severe Weather
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A Severe Thunderstorm Watch will be in effect until 8pm tonight.
- scattered damaging wind gusts up to 70 mph possible
- isolated large hail
- a “tornado or two” is also possible inside the entire watch area – I think that threat is mainly north of us
We’ll be covering this on X/IG. If either part of our county is included in a warning, we’ll go live on our YouTube channel. You can always view the radar on our website by using this link. Lightning + heavy rain will also be possible with any storm – could lead to some rainouts, depending on where the heaviest rain falls.
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