Rain arrives late afternoon and continues thru tonight per HRRR model. No lightning. 0.25” total on avg.
HRRR model has light rain tomorrow night. Most of it misses to our SE. Model may be wrong. Will update.
Rain likely Friday. Lightning unlikely. Hi Res data in range tonight w/ deets. After a quiet weekend, another system late Mon-Tue. Strong winds likely but severe (at least for now) appears unlikely (bc no CAPE). This will be watched.
Spending this blue sky Weds emotionally preparing for a summertime of questions about cicadas and inaccuracies in the coming Twister movie reboot.
Next Event Thu/Fri. Deets here. Must read? Nah.
Last Night Review. Rain last night avg around 1″+, more for those south of 840.
One family in my hood got lightning through the roof. No fire, somehow, and thankfully. No one hurt.
We’ll be covering the event today/tonight over on Twitter and also YouTube Live (if a warning is issued). See you there! twitter.com/nashseverewx
My anxiety level rising for Thursday night. What looked like a meh line incoming is now in range of convective allowing models like the HRRR. Those models show strong/severe storms arriving late night Thursday or the wee hours Friday AM.
Inconsequential isolated daytime showers found in HRRR model for today:
Rain, storms Friday. Until then we good fam.
HRRR model update thinks most of the rain tonight/overnight will be gone by sunrise Sat. Few passing lunchtime showers possible.
Heaviest rain scoots just east of us. If the model is off by just 30-40 miles, we could be really soggy in the AM.
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