COLD MORNINGS
Warming trend: check out the highs.
RAIN THIS WEEKEND
… a trailing cold front will approach Middle Tennessee on Saturday afternoon with likely rain chances late Saturday through Sunday morning.
NWS-Nashville, Midday Forecast Discussion, 12/11/24
- Rain most likely between 6 PM Saturday and noon Sunday.
- It may rain earlier/later than that. Puts the Titans game in play for getting wet.
- Won’t rain all weekend but do not expect much/any sunshine.
- No lightning, no severe storm concerns at the moment. Thunderstorm probabilities under 12% per NBM data.
- Models vary from 0.2″ to 0.8″ total. See below.
Another rain event is expected in the Tue-Weds range. Model spread is wide so don’t hold me to the timing.
WHITE CHRISTMAS?
Statistically there is a 19 percent chance of snow (trace or more) on any given Christmas day in Nashville and an 8 percent chance of measurable snow (0.1 inch or more).
NWS-Nashville, link below
For more, read this.
So what about Christmas 2024? I have no idea. Deterministic (“give me an answer”) model data is dog water at this range. 5-7 days out we start to get an idea. Sorry, I am a serious scientist, Gladys, but I’d be delighted to purchase your coffee and sit and talk about it some more.