(Strong) Storms Sunday, Heating Up Next Week
Saturday, July 11, 2020 · Patrick Moats
Warm Saturday with lower dew points: mid to upper 60s instead of 70s
Stormy Night Into Sunday
SPC has our area in a 5% risk for seeing severe gusts within 25 miles of your location.
SPC Day 1 Outlook
Note: the above outlook is valid until 7AM Sunday.
HRRR Model wants to bring the storms in 4-5AM, with maybe so lingering showers lasting trough 8AM. These times are of course subject to change as newer model data becomes available. Check back on the Twitter page throughout the day.
HRRR Model Through 11AM Sunday
After the morning round of storms, details regarding Sunday afternoon remain fuzzy.
SPC has kept the 5% risk for damaging winds and large hail (see below)
SPC Damaging Wind Outlook Sunday
But they’ve also included a 2% risk for an isolated tornado centered on Kentucky/Tennessee.
SPC Tornado Outlook Sunday
Going back to the HRRR Model, once the morning storms exit, more redevelopment is possible late afternoon/early evening.
HRRR Model Through 7PM Sunday
NWS Nashville thinks our best timing for storms will also be in the afternoon.
Drying Out and Heating Up
After the weekend mess, we’ll probably stay dry throughout next week with HOT being the key word.
Temperatures through Next Friday
Wouldn’t be surprised if one of those ‘96 days’ get bumped up a degree or two.