A cold front will move east across Middle Tennessee today, bringing rain and awesome temps with it.
Rain is already underway this morning at 7:28 AM.
Rain should be off and on. Expect heavier rain at times, especially this morning.
The HRRR model thinks the rain will end by late afternoon:
The NAM model agrees.
Rain totals will vary between neighborhoods. Generally expect just over 0.50″. Looks like more rain is moving into Nashville this morning than Will Co., but I think everyone should get pretty wet. I’m not optimistic afternoon baseball practice will happen.
A thunderstorm is possible. Nothing strong or severe expected. Mostly a rain event for us.
Models sometimes predict more rain than we actually get. We’ll be live tweeting the event like we do every every event on Twitter @NashSevereWx.
It’s 75° at BNA as I’m writing this. 80° is unlikely today. Check out the cooler air moving in!
High temps should stay below 80° through Tuesday. Humidity plummets tonight and stays low until mid-day Tuesday.
Early morning low 60°s Monday and Tuesday, so maybe you need your shawl or cardigan.
Hooray! Is Fall Here?
Summer ends September 22.
Summer Temps/Humidity Return Wednesday
Mid 80°s highs by Wednesday, breaking 90° by Friday or Saturday, with humidity rising to where it was yesterday. Normal “late afternoon/early evening pop-up” showers or storms possible Wednesday through the weekend.
Like the rest of the weather world, we’re watching Florence with great interest and dread for our friends on the east coast. We hope it’ll curve north and bounce back out to sea.
There is no mention of Florence impacting our forecast, and until it does, we’re not adding our voice to the chorus because the Responsible Weather Community is doing great and we have nothing to add. Two great follows (among many) are:
Below is the current official NHC track. Expect this to change many times, perhaps dramatically. Draw no conclusions. Consult responsible sources. You know the source is responsible if they’re giving you a range of possible outcomes.