Quick Glance Forecast
Warmer, Rain/Storms To Start the Work Week
Southerly winds and moisture return will “restart” on Sunday night into Monday morning — this will lead to climbing temperatures and increased chances for rain.
It appears the Monday morning commute could be wet. Scattered showers into Tuesday are a good bet, with a couple storms possible but not overly likely. Tuesday, the mercury will approach 70º!
Wednesday is a day when instability will be the greatest, and this could aid in decent thunderstorm development. A preliminary look at CAPE (storm food) forecasts from the GFS show a respectable amount of unstable air on Wednesday at lunchtime:
In lieu of this, the Storm Prediction Center has highlighted a 15% risk for severe weather already for Wednesday:
...lower MS Valley and TN Valley on Wednesday... Strong belt of mid-level flow coupled with increasing low-level moisture will probably support marginal-moderate buoyancy with a strong shear profile. The timing of a cold front appears to converge on Wednesday as it sweeps through the area. Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are forecast, some of which could be severe.
We will be monitoring this system as the mid-week approaches, so keep it here on NashSevereWx.com and on Twitter @NashSevereWx for updates.
After the Storms, Colder Again
Temperatures will drop into the 40s and 50s once again behind Wednesday’s cold front that brought the thunderstorms.
Yzma made Kronk pull the lever, so we blame them for the roller coaster temperatures.
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Categories: Forecast Blogs