Cooler Tonight, Storm Chances Continue for the Holiday Weekend

Current Radar

Tonight: Chance for Showers/Storms Lingers – 9PM 84°

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Update: CAPE (storm food) has increased across our area this afternoon ahead of a weak front that is approaching middle TN. However, limited moisture is keeping shower/storm development minimal and isolated. The HRRR model projects this continues until about 8PM, and then our rain chances drastically drop off:


Temperatures will fall through the 80s and upper 70s for any of your evening plans.

Saturday: Few Degrees Cooler, PM Rain Chance – Wake Up 68° High 88°

The front that moved through Friday will keep temps at bay, holding them in the upper 80s for highs on Saturday.

Nevertheless, it will be warm and dew points will be in the mid 60s. This leads to another chance for showers and t-storms during the afternoon. We don’t expect a washout, but rain is possible.

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The NAM shows this, albeit not very well:

NAM at 7PM Saturday


Summertime + moisture + warm temps = random pop-up storms. Keep the umbrella handy if you’ll be out and about on Saturday.

Extended Outlook: Hotter, More Humid, More Chances for Storms


Sunday brings another chance for afternoon storms.

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For the 4th of July, rain is again in the forecast. In fact, there is greater confidence in having rain/storms on Monday. Here’s what NWS Nashville says:


If you can plan to be outdoor and indoors for your festivities on Monday, you’ll be best prepared.

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Allergy Report: 5-Day Forecast


This website supplements @NashSevereWx on Twitter, which you can find here.