Forecast Blogs

Scattered Showers Tonight, Rain Uncertainty Through Friday

Current Radar

Tonight: Rain Possible

If you haven’t already, start to keep those umbrellas handy through the remainder of the day into the evening.

The GFS does not think we will see any in the early evening hours, first chance would be in the early AM hours:

WeatherBELL Models _ Premium Weather Maps - Google Chrome 2016-04-13 07.29.28

There it is, kind of:

WeatherBELL Models _ Premium Weather Maps - Google Chrome 2016-04-13 15.12.34

By 10 PM, HRRR shows some rain moving into the area, very scattered, and fairly brief:

NAM 4 shows more scattered showers, with a lot of these showers popping up in our area:

hires_ref_nashville_21.png (1000×750) - Google Chrome 2016-04-13 07.26.02

So which is right and when is the rain coming?

idk i dont know

This is why precipitation chances remain so low.

The NAM 4 shows rain by the early evening hours and continuing through the night. HRRR and Euro show some rain in the later evening hours. GFS doesn’t think there will be much rain, only a very slight chance in early AM hours.

Bottom Line: it’s probably going to rain at least once tonight. Shouldn’t last long, but I would plan for periods of rain in the later evening hours.

Thursday: Rain Uncertainty – Wake Up 53° High 70°

Our uncertainty continues into Thursday. Once again through the morning and early afternoon, NAM 4 and Euro show scattered showers in and around our area, whereas GFS thinks the rain will stay out of our area.

NAM 4 even shows a possible pop up thunderstorm in the area:

hires_ref_nashville_29.png (1000×750) - Google Chrome 2016-04-13 15.15.49

No other models show this, but if it does occur, it should not be severe.

Into Thursday night, NAM 4  and GFS don’t think there will be much rain in the evening, maybe a small shower or two:

hires_ref_nashville_43.png (1000×750) - Google Chrome 2016-04-13 07.32.55

GFS confirms:

WeatherBELL Models _ Premium Weather Maps - Google Chrome 2016-04-13 15.11.26

Bottom Line: Keep an umbrella handy all day. Chances of rain will increase throughout the day.

You’d rather be safe than sorry.

wetv sad rain emotions emo

Friday: Rain Possible in Early AM and PM – Wake Up 51° High 70°

Most of the models agree that the rain should be gone by the AM commute. Clouds will remain throughout the day. Looks like we will stay dry in the evening as well.

Weekend Outlook: Looks Great

My Forecast - Google Chrome 2016-04-13 15.39.55

Allergy Report:

As per usual in the spring, medium to high allergies will be expected throughout the rest of the week into the weekend.

5 Day Pollen Allergy Forecast for Nashville, TN (37201) _ - Google Chrome 2016-04-13 07.21.16

This website supplements @NashSevereWx on Twitter, which you can find here.

Categories: Forecast Blogs