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This Weekend: Mostly Rain Free?

NOTE: We (actually, I’m paying someone) are in the process of fixing prior problems with this website, so it may be acting funny today. See @NashSevereWx for forecast/storm details.

Current Official Hourly Observation (taken at :53 on the hour)

Current Radar Loop

Temp & Rain Probabilities Next 36 Hours (auto-updating)

Friday Showers Possible, Mostly Cloudy – High 86

Once again we will be closely watching as a Mesoscale Convective System or MCS (cluster of thunderstorms) moves out of Arkansas and approaches (southern) Middle Tennessee.

According to the Storm Prediction Center, Nashville will not see any severe storms from this MCS.

SPC Day 1

Storms should miss us to the south. Here’s the radar at 3:25 PM, and a look at where the HRRR and RAP models think storms will go tonight:

Notice how far we are from the yellow-shaded Severe Thunderstorm Watch boxes. That’s good.

SaturdayPartly Sunny, Thunderstorms Possible Late – Wake Up 67, High 88

Rain is not expected Saturday morning. In fact, it looks like the best chance of rain is late Saturday night.

By 10 PM the NAM has the disturbance across the Mississippi River…

3z NAM

… Between 10 PM Saturday and 1 AM Sunday, the heaviest rain is expected to be on us. Our rain chances will continue throughout the night.

The SPC believes the severe storms will stay West of the Tennessee River.

spc day 2

The Vanderbilt Super Regional game (beginning at 2 PM) could see a few hit and miss (mostly miss) showers, but that’s pretty unlikely.

SundayMostly Cloudy, Showers & Thunderstorms – Wake Up 71, High 88

We will have off again on again showers and thunderstorms throughout the day, into the overnight hours.

The SPC does not predict any severe weather on Sunday.

Extended Forecast

This website supplements @NashSevereWx on Twitter. 

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