Current Official Hourly Observation (taken at :53 on the hour)
Current Radar Loop
Temp & Rain Probabilities Next 36 Hours (auto-updating)
Today – Rain, T’Storm Chances Increase Throughout The Day – High 85
The above meteogram shows our rain chances increase from “slight chance” to “chance” by 1 PM, then to “likely” by 7 PM.
Our short range weather models (HRRR and RAP) keep all the rain safely to our W and NW today. For now, we think tonight’s ball games are safe. Rain and storms arrive tomorrow.
Wednesday – Rain, Isolated Severe Storms Possible – Wake Up 63, High 74
Wednesday looks like a washout. Our local NWS office and the Weather Prediction Center forecast about 1.25″ of rain for the 24 hour period beginning 7 AM Wednesday.
Speaking about the entire yellow-shaded area below . . .
. . . the Storm Prediction Center summarized:
That said, this morning our local NWS office wrote that shear levels (a key severe weather ingredient) are expected to be low, so this remains a “low end” severe weather forecast. It certainly should not set off panic/alarms, but check reliable weather sources today and especially tomorrow in the event this changes.
Even if this turns out “only” to be an isolated severe weather event regionally . . . it won’t feel that way if it “isolates” on you.
Thursday Through Sunday
Cooler, with highs around 70 each day, all courtesy of the cold front associated with tomorrow’s rain/storms. We can’t rule out a shower, but none are expected.
This website supplements @NashSevereWx on Twitter.
Categories: Forecast Blogs