Forecast Blogs

Rain & Storms — Some Possibly Severe — Tomorrow

Current Official Hourly Observation (taken at :53 on the hour)

Current Radar Loop

Temp & Rain Probabilities Next 36 Hours (auto-updating)

Today – Rain, T’Storm Chances Increase Throughout The Day – High 85

The above meteogram shows our rain chances increase from “slight chance” to “chance” by 1 PM, then to “likely” by 7 PM.

Our short range weather models (HRRR and RAP) keep all the rain safely to our W and NW today. For now, we think tonight’s ball games are safe. Rain and storms arrive tomorrow.

WednesdayRain, Isolated Severe Storms Possible – Wake Up 63, High 74

Wednesday looks like a washout. Our local NWS office and the Weather Prediction Center forecast about 1.25″ of rain for the 24 hour period beginning 7 AM Wednesday.

Speaking about the entire yellow-shaded area below . . .

. . . the Storm Prediction Center summarized:

That said, this morning our local NWS office wrote that shear levels (a key severe weather ingredient) are expected to be low, so this remains a “low end” severe weather forecast. It certainly should not set off panic/alarms, but check reliable weather sources today and especially tomorrow in the event this changes.

Even if this turns out “only” to be an isolated severe weather event regionally . . . it won’t feel that way if it “isolates” on you.

Thursday Through Sunday

Cooler, with highs around 70 each day, all courtesy of the cold front associated with tomorrow’s rain/storms. We can’t rule out a shower, but none are expected.

This website supplements @NashSevereWx on Twitter.

Categories: Forecast Blogs