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One More Beautiful Spring Day, then….#SpringFail

Current Official Hourly Observation (taken at :53 on the hour)

Current Radar Loop

Temps & Rain Probabilities Next 36 Hours (auto-updating)

It’s National Flood Safety Awareness Week! 

Remember this?

This wasn’t from May 2010. It was last year in Madison (August 8, 2013).

Read up on Flood Insurance and Flood Risk:

Thursday Night  Clear & Cool

There’s a 0% chance inclement weather will block your satellite signal.

Friday – Yup! Beautiful  Morning Low 36 / Afternoon High 70

Get through the cool morning temps, and you are golden from there!

(Editor’s Note: I may be old, but that kid, above, is NOT Charlie.

This is Charlie).

Just don’t leave your chocolate bar in the car…

Clouds begin to increase overnight as our next system approaches.

Saturday – Cloudy, Increasing Rain Chances  Morning Low 49 / Afternoon High 61

A cold front arrives with its clouds, rain, and falling temps.

There isn’t much model agreement on the rain timing. We think rain is less likely early in the day, and more likely later in the day. Rain will be neither consistent nor drenching. Don’t worry about it, brides.

Rain totals will be generally less than 0.10″. Rain is more likely the further south you are, which is to say N Davidson Co will see less rain than S Williamson Co.

Hi-Res NAM model Saturday Midnight – Sunday 1 AM:

Similar to last Saturday night, expect most of the rain to fall overnight Saturday into the wee hours of Sunday morning.

Official Extended NWS Forecast:

Screen Shot 2014-03-20 at 3.50.11 PM

Cold temps will dominate the beginning of next week. GFS temperature anomaly Monday 7 PM – Thursday 7 PM:

That is consistently 10 degrees below average. The purples are closer to 20 below average. HIgh temps: Monday 51, Tuesday 47, Wednesday 47.

A few models are even hinting at a little wintry precip Monday and Tuesday mornings. It’s too soon — way too soon — to worry about that.

Warmer temps are expected late next week as the cold pattern breaks.

Additional information can be found on Twitter @NashSevereWx.

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