Current Official Hourly Observation (taken at :53 on the hour) & Radar
Experimental Temp Graph
Tonight – Cold, Flurries? – Midnight Temp 19
Snow is staying well to our south. Could see a few flurries sneak in, but probably not. The HRRR and RAP models keep any meaningful snow chances far away from us.
Fun Fact: Most of southern Mississippi has seen more snow this winter than Nashville.
(Editor’s Note: I am not amused by this).
Take it slow on the roads because there could be a few patches of black ice.
Friday – Still Freezing, Small Chance of Snow Late – Morning Low 17 / Afternoon High 32
Clouds will remain in place for most of the day, with only a few peeks of sunshine possible around lunch. Clouds return in the evening.
Our chance of evening snow is pretty low, but this could be one of those systems that ends up surprising us with a dusting to an inch if we can pull enough moisture into Middle Tennessee.
A lot of the models have been under forecasting snow across the south lately. For example, today’s forecast across the deep south was for flurries. Instead, some got a dusting to inch of snow.
Anyway, for us, we aren’t sure if the moisture will make it here Friday night / Saturday morning. We could see flurries, or stay bone dry.
If you like snow, only one model gives us anything good: the Hi-Res NAM. Here it is from Friday 4 pm – Saturday 3 am:
Any impacts should be low, especially considering temps will be well above freezing Saturday.
Saturday – Morning Snow Possible – Morning Low 24 / Afternoon High 44
6a 24 . 9a 30 . 12p 39 . 3p 43 . 6p 39 . 9p 36
Some leftover snow showers are possible in the morning. We should be above freezing by 10 am, which is when the precipitation should be gone.
Extended Official NWS Forecast:
Next Week’s Mixed Bag of Wintry Precip
Anything from freezing rain to cold to heavy rain, valid for Sunday through Thursday.
Questions? We’re on Twitter @NashSevereWx, where you can also find additional info.
Categories: Forecast Blogs