Tuesday Night Dusting? Maybe.

Current Official Hourly Observation (taken at :53 on the hour)

Tonight – Increasing Clouds – Midnight Temp 45

Clouds will gather overnight. Rain is on the way.

MondayRain – Morning Low 41 / 55 Afternoon High

Models still disagree about how long and how much rain we’ll see Monday.  The rain window opens early in the morning, and continues until around sundown.

Here’s FutureRadar from the RAP model, 3 AM through Noon Monday

We expect well under a half-inch total:

TuesdayRain to Snow? – Morning Low 34 / 54 Afternoon High

Morning. Partly sunny.

Afternoon. Clouds will deliver a few rain showers.

Early Evening Mix. Dropping temps associated with the approaching arctic cold front could change some rain to sleet, and maybe even snow.

Change to Snow. Precip caught behind the arrival of the arctic air may produce snow showers by 10 PM Tuesday night, lasting into into Wednesday morning, and maybe even the afternoon.

NWS: “Most locations west of the plateau” — that’s us —  “will have flurries or some brief accumulating snow shower episodes, with maximum accumulations probably just enough to cover the ground at times.”

Weather Models: The Euro (12z) predicts no snow for us, but a dusting for those in west TN. Basically, a non event. The GFS (18z), below, puts a little snow on the plateau, but nowhere else in TN.

If you want to see a few inches of snow, you’ll have to visit the plateau.

A “reinforcing shot of cold air” arrives Friday. The weekend will be cold: lows in the teens/20s, highs in the 30s.